Every pick published before first pitch. Every result automatically graded at published price.
How a pick gets made — the model, traced on two real picks →
Final card of the 2026 season. Prop picks ranked by calibrated EV (cEV). All picks recorded with the market price at the moment we published and graded whether or not it’s still on the page.
conf lineup confirmed when we published the pick
proj lineup projected when we published the pick
| Bet | Who | First pitch (CT) | Lineup | Bet to | cEV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB Over 0.5 | J. Bauers (MIL) · MIL@TB | 7:00p | conf | -174 | +2% |
Every pick from the last card, with results and prices →
Every model-driven pick since July 21, 2026. Market = the no-vig price (what pure luck would hit)
| Lane | W–L | Win | Market | Edge | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits / TB Over 0.5 | 575–431 | 57.2% | 53.0% | +4.2pp | +82.0u |
| TB Under | 339–242 | 58.3% | 51.8% | +6.6pp | +52.5u |
| K Unders | 309–281 | 52.4% | 50.2% | +2.2pp | -10.8u |
| Moneylines (FG) | 182–128 | 58.7% | 54.3% | +4.4pp | +11.1u |